Duke's comeback chances last Feb? 0.62%

With 2 minutes, 38 seconds remaining and North Carolina leading by 10 points last Feb. 8, Duke had only a 0.62 chance of coming back to beat the Tar Heels, according to Ken Pomeroy’s win probability algorithm. But in only five possessions – including freshman Austin Rivers’ game-winning 3-pointer – the Blue Devils beat the odds to prevail 85-84. And that game ranks only eighth on Pomeroy’s list of craziest comebacks in 2011-12.

Source: http://espn.go.com/blog/collegebasketballnation/post/_/id/64546/dukes-comeback-chances-last-feb-0-62

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